Prop Firm ROI Calculator (Guide)

Inputs you need

Challenge fee, reset fee, your conservative pass rate estimate, target payout, and months to pass.

Industry pass rates are low — use conservative assumptions, not marketing claims.

Worked example

Example: $200 challenge, 15% pass probability, $800 target payout, one $100 reset → Expected value = 0.15 × 800 − 200 − 0.85 × 100 = −$165 before time cost.

Negative expected value doesn't mean never try — it means size risk accordingly.

Scenarios

Optimistic: 25% pass, no resets — still verify with your own track record.

Realistic: 10–15% pass with one reset common.

Conservative: 5% pass — instant funding may have different fee structure; see instant-funding-vs-evaluation-2026.